00 27/04/2021 19:39
"Fabio Dragoni per la Verità", mi sono fermato qui.

Piuttosto, io mi sono informato su questo modello svedese che tanto viene decantato. Una commissione indipendente ha fatto un report a fine 2020 arrivando alla conclusione che il governo ha fallito nel proteggere la popolazione anziana. Persino il re ha detto che la loro strategia ha fallito (cfr. www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-55347021 ).

Inoltre, per quanto riguarda il sistema sanitario [dalla wiki inglese, lì trovate le fonti]:

"The pandemic has put the Swedish healthcare system under severe strain, with tens of thousands of operations being postponed throughout the year, and only emergency and COVID-related care being available during a surge in the winter. Initially, Swedish hospitals and other facilities reported a shortage of personal protective equipment. Swedish hospitals were able to increase their intensive care capacity during the earlier stages of the pandemic, but Stockholm's health system still became seriously overwhelmed during the winter surge, with intensive care bed occupancy reaching 99% by 18 December and the city experiences healthcare staff shortages.

[...]

The increasing number of cases in March resulted in the cancellation or postponement of close to 50% of planned surgeries, including cancer-related surgeries, in all of Sweden, and up to 90% in large areas such as Stockholm and Uppsala.[266] By May, 44,000 planned surgeries had been postponed in Sweden, increasing the total number of Swedes in line for a surgery to over 150,000.[267] Several regions also chose to cancel many, or all, planned non-acute dentistry as a measure to redistribute healthcare equipment like disposable gloves and masks.[268]".

Insomma, se hai bisogno di un'operazione ti puoi attaccare. In effetti noi vediamo i morti da covid e constatiamo che in Svezia sono morte meno persone in percentuale rispetto all'Italia; ma a fine pandemia bisognerà vedere quante persone in più sono morte in questi mesi rispetto alla media degli anni passati nei due paesi, perché tra le vittime della pandemia ci sono anche i malati di altre patologie che sono stati trascurati da un sistema sanitario in sovraccarico.

Inoltre, anche la motivazione dell'economia non regge, dal momento che durante una crisi globale di questo genere crescere è estremamente difficile, se almeno non si veniva da movimenti economici estremamente favorevoli nel periodo pre-pandemia. L'Italia ha perso circa 10 punti di PIL, la Svezia 7: considerando la condizione di stagnazione dell'Italia pre-pandemia e di crescita della Svezia, i risultati sono del tutto simili.

"In a forecast by the Swedish National Institute of Economic Research published in late April, the Swedish GDP was expected to fall with 7% during 2020 due to the impact of the ongoing pandemic. The European Commission predicted that the Swedish economy would contract -6.1%, a level similar to that of the eurozone (-7.7%). In June, the Swedish central bank Sveriges Riksbank forecasted a fall of 10%. This was mainly due to the Swedish economy being heavily reliant on exports (which attributes to around half of the Swedish GDP) with the shrinking global economy being predicted to decrease international demand of Swedish goods and services. The Economy were also affected by problems with global supply lines, which had forced some of the biggest manufacturing companies in Sweden, including Scania and Volvo Cars, to halt their production in March, as well as a decrease in consumption.[282][124] The National Institute of Economic Research also expected that unemployment in Sweden would rise to 11% during 2020, and the Swedish Pensions Agency calculated a 1.5% drop in pensions for 2021, as Swedish pensions are attached to GDP and income.[282][283] While some predicted a rebound already in the second half of 2020, Magdalena Andersson warned that things "could get worse before they get better."[124]